Lindane “Worst-Case Scenario” Water Supply Calculation
What would have happened if a population-proportional amount of lindane shampoo and lotion sold in the state of NY had been poured directly into the municipal water supply of Albany, NY in 2004?
Unrealistic, worst-case assumption
- This example assumes that no removal, filtering, or chemical breakdown of lindane took place during sewage treatment after it was washed down the drain
- Instead, it assumes that 100% of lindane shampoo and lotion was poured directly into the Albany tap water supply
Relevant figures used for calculation
- 2004 annual water use for Albany, NY = 7,435,559,466 gallons ( = 7.4 billion gallons)
- 2004 population of city of Albany = 101,000
- 2004 population of state of NY = 19,227,088
- Population-based proportional use factor for city of Albany = 0.525%
- 2004 lindane shampoo sales in state of NY = 14,793 units
- 2004 lindane lotion sales in state of NY = 10,404 units
- Volume of each medication unit sold = 2 fluid oz.
- Concentration of lindane contained in shampoo and lotion = 1%
Calculation
- (25,197 total units) × (2 oz. per unit) × (1% lindane concentration) × (0.525% Albany proportional use factor) = 2.65 oz. of pure lindane in Albany water during 2004
- (2.65 oz. of pure lindane) ÷ (128 oz. per gallon) = 0.021 gallons of pure lindane
- (0.021 gallons of lindane) ÷ (7,435,559,466 gallons of water) = 2.8 parts per trillion (ppt)
- 2.8 parts per trillion (ppt) is equivalent to approximately 0.003 parts per billion (ppb)
Conclusion
A 0.003 ppb level of lindane is 67-times lower than conservative level of 0.2 ppb considered safe by the EPA in 1991, and 333-times lower than <1.0 ppb level considered safe by the EPA in 2003.